The other swing-state Democratic senators up in 2024 Robert P. Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) and Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) won a little more comfortably in 2018 but will be targets. Congressmen Bill Huizenga and Mike Rogers, former Congressman Peter Meijer (2021-2023), and Congresswoman Lisa McClain have all expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination. Others haveannounced they would not be seeking another term, like California Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein,thelongest serving senator in the state, who announced in February she will be retiring. During the Democratic primary of that race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time. Incumbent: Democrat Maggie Hassan. State prosecutor Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against Scott, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds being seen as another potential candidate for the Republican nomination. ^ Excludes Nebraska seat with a special election in 2024, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. 1/2", "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024", "Former Midland councilman announces U.S. Senate run in 2024", "Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run", "Joe Manchin gets a GOP challenger for his West Virginia Senate seat", "GOP candidates, voters rally in Weirton", "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate", "Sinema files campaign papers, but re-election decision unclear", "Key senators torn over retirement decisions as party leaders try to fortify 2024 standing | CNN Politics", "Kyrsten Sinema 'Staggeringly Vulnerable' in 2024 After Filibuster Vote", "Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? Beyond the battleground map and quadrennial allure of the presidential race, retirements can shake up the structure of the Senate. Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. The survey released on Sunday . We try not to talk about it til it starts.. [42], Republican State Senator Matt Dolan has announced his candidacy,[94] and Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose is considered another potential challenger to Brown. Jim Justice, [] [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. [23], Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General, Republican nominee for Governor in 2018, and Republican nominee for Senator in 2022, could potentially challenge Rosen for her seat. Trump carried the state in 2020 by nearly 40 points, while Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R) pulled off an even bigger, 43-point win. (I-Vt.) said it was too early to talk about whether he might run for reelection. Tester, a rare Democrat representing the deep-red red-leaning state . And Ill probably make a decision early next year. Article I, Section II of the Constitution says that each state shall have at least one U.S. Representative, while the total size of a state's delegation to the House depends on its population. Though he won't make a final determination on whether to run again until early next year, he told . Some members of the House are throwing their names on the ballot for a seat in the upper chamber, while a handful of senators have launched campaigns for reelection. Its certainly a more expansive map for us, said Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), the caucus No. Itll also be Rosens first reelection bid, and the political environment next year is expected to be very different from the one she ran in during her 2018 campaign, when she ousted former Sen. Dean Heller (R). Pest control company owner, Michael Hoover, has filed paperwork to run. Whats clear is that the race is emerging as one of the most contentious in the country. [78], Republican Nikki Snyder, a member of the Michigan State Board of Education, has also announced a bid for the seat. Here are the seven Senate seats most likely to flip in November: Pennsylvania. Michigan Republicans are anxious about 2024 as the party recovers from a disappointing midterm and struggles to find a way to reset in a key battleground state. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. Cruz, Hawley and Rick Scott, whose seats are up in 2024, have chosen to seek re-election rather than roll the dice on a White House run. [77], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. See also Class I Senators by Senator's Last Name. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. So I hope to run for re-election" in the Senate, he said. Special elections during the preceding Congress. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. Democrats had 23 seats up for election, additionally 2 independents who caucused with the Democrats faced the end of their current term. Here are eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) speaks during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on July 9, 2020, on Capitol Hill in Washington. Also tells me he "seriously will consider it". Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election. Most notably, 2022 Republican nominee for Senate in Pennsylvania, cardiologist, and former host of The Dr. Oz Show, Mehmet Oz, is considered a potential Republican challenger for the Senate, since he lives in New Jersey. One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote. John Glen Weaver running for Nebraska's open Class II U.S. Senate seat", "Democrat Ruben Gallego launches run for Senate in Arizona as Sinema stays silent", "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat | CNN Politics", "Anti-Trump stalwart Rep. Adam Schiff enters California Senate race", "Rick Scott to run for reelection in '24", "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign", "Maine Independent Senator Angus King intends to seek third term in U.S. Senate in 2024", "Warren says she will run for reelection in 2024", "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow", "State Board of Ed member Nikki Snyder launches U.S. Senate campaign", "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run", "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker", "Columbia activist announces bid for U.S. Senate", "Hawley says he's not interested in presidential run at this time", "Lucas Kunce announces candidacy for U.S. Senate", "Montana Sen. Jon Tester to seek reelection in major boost for Democrats", "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024", "Watch Now: Chris Janicek Won't Quit Senate Race, Democrats Eye Write-In Candidate", https://www.insidernj.com/cruz-wants-to-challenge-menendez/, "Menendez builds warchest for 2024 re-election campaign", "A Democratic mayor wants to run against Sen. Menendez. Even prominent Republicans who aren't up for reelection in the 2024 cycle, such as Sens. But as he nears his 80th birthday, he confronts a decision on whether to run in 2024 that has some Democrats uncomfortable. Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) speaks during a Senate Small Business and Entrepreneurship hearing to examine implementation of Title I of the CARES Act, Wednesday, June 10, 2020 on Capitol Hill in Washington. As the 2022 battle for the Senate winds down, it is worth noting the 2024 Senate map, which gives the Republicans many opportunities to play offense and Democrats hardly any. Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). [82], United States Congressmen Matt Rosendale (MT-02) and Ryan Zinke (MT-01) have expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination, provoking a 2018 rematch for the Senate seat, and one of two potential primary rematches of the cycle. [113] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. There are also few opportunities for Democrats to go on the offensive. Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. See also Class II Senators (Up for Re-election in 2020) by State. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has no plans other than to run for reelection.. U.S. Senate See also: United States Senate elections, 2024 See also: United States Senate elections, 2022. The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. [99], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. Senate Democrats are looking at a tough map for 2024. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress. The United States Senate Election in 2026 was held on November 3, 2026. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) ultimately won reelection, but the race was decided by fewer than 8,000 votes. Spartz eyes Senate run in 2024 as Braun pursues gov race", https://indianacapitalchronicle.com/2022/12/12/mccormick-hints-at-run-for-indiana-governor-while-other-democrats-still-mum/, https://www.ibj.com/articles/will-indianapolis-mayor-joe-hogsett-seek-a-third-term-or-higher-office, https://www.bangordailynews.com/2022/12/01/politics/angus-king-readies-2024-campaign-xoasq1i29i/, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/006/202301079574473006/202301079574473006.pdf, https://www.marylandmatters.org/2023/02/03/cardin-raises-just-29k-in-late-2022-fueling-speculation-about-his-political-plans/, https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/19/larry-hogan-decision-2024-run-00083586, https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/12/28/metro/once-bakers-heir-apparent-karyn-polito-will-leave-office-with-him-some-gop-hope-its-not-good/, https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/27/politics/elissa-slotkin-debbie-stabenow/index.html, https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/michigan/2023/02/16/state-board-of-ed-member-nikki-snyder-launches-u-s-senate-campaign/69909530007/, https://apnews.com/article/politics-united-states-government-2022-midterm-elections-debbie-stabenow-michigan-7d6e8bb4c2d433bf3fc41fa1b13b2188, https://www.komu.com/news/elections/columbia-activist-announces-bid-for-u-s-senate/article_3d257134-95e1-11ed-bdd1-b7b56d48182a.html, "Sen. Jon Tester to seek re-election in 2024", https://www.theintelligencer.com/news/article/Surging-Montana-GOP-eyes-big-prize-US-Senate-17579691.php, "Senator Ben Sasse (R-Nebraska) officially resigned at 12:00 Noon today.